Resource scarcity and foreign policy: A simulation model of international conflict
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This paper describes the initial stages of an interdisciplinary research project designed to trace the effects of domestic resource needs and scarcities in advanced technological societies upon international behavior. Our objective is the development of conceptual tools for disciplined speculation concerning alternative future responses that may be employed by nations faced with resource problems. What follows is a statement of the problem, a description of the research design and methodology used, and a discussion of our preliminary analysis, with the United States as a test case.
Description
The investigations reported in this paper were undertaken with the collaboration of Robert C. North, Stanford University. The energy data were compiled a t Stanford University and processed at M.I.T. by Panayiotis Momferratos. The model formulation was undertaken by Michael Laird, and the basic research for resource data by James P. Bennett. An earlier version of this paper was entitled "International Implications of Technological Development and Population Growth," M.I.T., September 1971. We are grateful to Hayward R. Alker for incisive comments and criticisms.
Date issued
1972Publisher
© Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Citation
Choucri, N., Laird, M., & Meadows, D. (1972). Resource scarcity and foreign policy: A simulation model of international conflict (Working Paper, No. C/72-09). MIT Center for International Studies.
Version: Author's final manuscript.
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MIT Center for International Studies; Working Paper: C/72-09
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