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The application of prediction markets to business

Author(s)
Schrieber, Jared M. (Jared Martin), 1976-
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Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division.
Advisor
Abbott Weiss.
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M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582
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Abstract
According to financial theory, open markets efficiently and effectively aggregate all available information about future events into their prices. Recent empirical evidence has shown that speculative markets, from gambling to web-games, are better at predicting the future than more commonly used statistical or survey-based forecasting methods. As a result, a number of companies have conducted experiments to evaluate the use of prediction markets as an alternative forecasting methodology. This paper offers a comprehensive framework for determining when and how prediction markets should be employed in a business context.
Description
Thesis (M. Eng. in Logistics)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, 2004.
 
Includes bibliographical references (p. 47-48).
 
Date issued
2004
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/28514
Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
Publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Keywords
Engineering Systems Division.

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