Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

Now showing items 301-320 of 337

    • Tax distortions and global climate policy 

      Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Metcalf, Gilbert E.; Reilly, John M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-05)
      We consider the efficiency implications of policies to reduce global carbon emissions in a world with pre-existing tax distortions. We first show that the weak double dividend, the proposition that the welfare improvement ...

    • Technical Change, Investment and Energy Intensity 

      Kratena, Kurt (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-03)
      This paper analyzes the role of different components of technical change on energy intensity by applying a Translog variable cost function setting to the new EU KLEMS dataset for 3 selected EU countries (Italy, Finland and ...

    • Technology and Technical Change in the MIT EPPA Model 

      Jacoby, Henry D.; Reilly, John M.; McFarland, James R.; Paltsev, Sergey. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-07)
      Potential technology change has a strong influence on projections of greenhouse gas emissions and costs of control, and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are a common device for studying these phenomena. Using ...

    • Technology detail in a multi-sector CGE model : transport under climate policy 

      Schafer, Andreas.; Jacoby, Henry D. (2003-07)
      A set of three analytical models is used to study the imbedding of specific transport technologies within a multi-sector, multi-region evaluation of constraints on greenhouse emissions. Key parameters of a computable general ...

    • Thermohaline circulation stability : a box model study. Part I: Uncoupled model. Part II: Coupled atmosphere-ocean model 

      Lucarini, Valerio.; Stone, Peter H. (2003-06)

    • A Three-Dimensional Ocean-Seaice-Carbon Cycle Model and its Coupling to a Two-Dimensional Atmospheric Model: Uses in Climate Change Studies 

      Dutkiewicz, Stephanie.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Scott, Jeffery.; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2005-05)
      We describe the coupling of a three-dimensional ocean circulation model, with explicit thermodynamic seaice and ocean carbon cycle representations, to a two-dimensional atmospheric/land model. This coupled system has been ...

    • Toward a useful architecture for climate change negotiations 

      Jacoby, Henry D.; Schmalensee, Richard.; Sue Wing, Ian. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1999-05)
      Years of hard bargaining have failed to produce a policy architecture to adequately address the complexities of climate change. Very likely, such a structure will have to be sought though improvement of the partial ...

    • Tradable permits for greenhouse gas emissions : a primer with particular reference to Europe 

      Ellerman, A. Denny. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-11)
      This paper is written as part of a two-year study of climate change policy choices facing Sweden, conducted under the auspices of the Center for Business and Policy Studies in Stockholm. As such, it aims to be a primer on ...

    • Transient climate change and net ecosystem production of the terrestrial biosphere 

      Xiao, Xiangming.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Kicklighter, David W.; McGuire, A. David.; Prinn, Ronald G.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-11)
      The Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM version 4.1) is applied to assess the sensitivity of net ecosystem production (NEP) of the terrestrial biosphere to transient changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration and climate in the ...

    • Transient climate change and potential croplands of the world in the 21st century 

      Xiao, Xiangming.; Melillo, Jerry M.; Kicklighter, David W.; McGuire, A. David.; Tian, Hanqin.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-05)
      A cropland distribution model, which is based on climate, soil and topography, is applied to estimate the area and spatial distribution of global potential croplands under contemporary climate and to assess the effect of ...

    • Transparency in the Paris Agreement 

      Jacoby, H.D.; Chen, Y.-H.H.; Flannery, B.P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-02)
      Establishing a credible and effective transparency system will be both crucial and challenging for the climate regime based on the pledge and review process established in the Paris Agreement. The Agreement provides for ...

    • Turkish Energy Sector Development and the Paris Agreement Goals: A CGE Model Assessment 

      Kat, Bora; Paltsev, Sergey; Yuan, Mei (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2018-07)
      In the 2015 Paris Agreement, Turkey pledged to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 21% by 2030 relative to business-as-usual (BAU). However, Turkey currently relies heavily on imported energy and fossil-intensive power ...

    • U.S. Greenhouse Gas Cap-and-Trade Proposals: Application of a Forward-Looking Computable General Equilibrium Model 

      Gurgel, Angelo C.; Paltsev, Sergey; Reilly, John M.; Metcalf, Gilbert E. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-06)
      We develop a forward-looking version of the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, and apply it to examine the economic implications of proposals in the U.S. Congress to limit greenhouse gas (GHG) ...

    • Uncertainty analysis of climate change and policy response 

      Webster, Mort David.; Forest, Chris Eliot.; Reilly, John M.; Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Kicklighter, David W.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-12)
      To aid climate policy decisions, accurate quantitative descriptions of the uncertainty in climate outcomes under various possible policies are needed. Here, we apply an earth systems model to describe the uncertainty in ...

    • Uncertainty in atmospheric CO₂ predictions from a parametric uncertainty analysis of a global carbon cycle model 

      Holian, Gary L.; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-09)
      Key uncertainties in the global carbon cycle are explored with a 2-D model for the oceanic carbon sink. By calibrating the key parameters of this ocean carbon sink model to widely referenced values, it produces an average ...

    • Uncertainty in climate change policy analysis 

      Jacoby, Henry D.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1994-12)
      Achieving agreement about whether and how to control greenhouse gas emissions would be difficult enough even if the consequences were fully known. Unfortunately, choices must be made in the face of great uncertainty, about ...

    • Uncertainty in emissions projections for climate models 

      Webster, Mort David.; Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Mayer, Monika.; Reilly, John M.; Harnisch, Jochen.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2001-08)
      Future global climate projections are subject to large uncertainties. Major sources of this uncertainty are projections of anthropogenic emissions. We evaluate the uncertainty in future anthropogenic emissions using a ...

    • Uncertainty in Future Agro-Climate Projections in the United States and Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation 

      Monier, E.; Xu, L.; Snyder, R. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-03)
      Scientific challenges exist on how to extract information from the wide range of projected impacts simulated by crop models driven by climate ensembles. A stronger focus is required to understand and identify the mechanisms ...

    • Uncertainty in future carbon emissions : a preliminary exploration 

      Webster, Mort David. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-11)
      In order to analyze competing policy approaches for addressing global climate change, a wide variety of economic-energy models are used to project future carbon emissions under various policy scenarios. Due to uncertainties ...

    • Uncertainty in Greenhouse Emissions and Costs of Atmospheric Stabilization 

      Webster, Mort D.; Paltsev, Sergey; Parsons, John E.; Reilly, John M.; Jacoby, Henry D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-11)
      We explore the uncertainty in projections of emissions, and costs of atmospheric stabilization applying the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model, a computable general equilibrium model of the global economy. ...