Browsing Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Reports by Author "Sarofim, Marcus C."
Now showing items 1-3 of 3
-
Analysis of Climate Policy Targets under Uncertainty
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-09)Although policymaking in response to the climate change is essentially a challenge of risk management, most studies of the relation of emissions targets to desired climate outcomes are either deterministic or subject to a ... -
The Influence on Climate Change of Differing Scenarios for Future Development Analyzed Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-09)A wide variety of scenarios for future development have played significant roles in climate policy discussions. This paper presents projections of greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations, sea level rise due to thermal expansion ... -
Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-01)The MIT Integrated Global System Model is used to make probabilistic projections of climate change from 1861 to 2100. Since the model's first projections were published in 2003 substantial improvements have been made to ...
