Browsing Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Reports by Author "Paltsev, Sergey"
Now showing items 1-20 of 44
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Analysis of Climate Policy Targets under Uncertainty
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-09)Although policymaking in response to the climate change is essentially a challenge of risk management, most studies of the relation of emissions targets to desired climate outcomes are either deterministic or subject to a ... -
Are Land-use Emissions Scalable with Increasing Corn Ethanol Mandates in the United States?
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-04)In response to the Renewable Fuel Standard, the U.S. transportation sector now consumes a substantial amount (13.3 billion gallons in 2010) of ethanol. A key motivation for these mandates is to expand the consumption of ... -
Assessment of U.S. Cap-and-Trade Proposals
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-04)The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model is applied to an assessment of a set of cap-and-trade proposals being considered by the U.S. Congress in spring 2007. The bills specify emissions reductions to be ... -
Biofuels, Climate Policy and the European Vehicle Fleet
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-08)We examine the effect of biofuels mandates and climate policy on the European vehicle fleet, considering the prospects for diesel and gasoline vehicles. We use the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, ... -
Biomass Energy and Competition for Land
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-04)We describe an approach for incorporating biomass energy production and competition for land into the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, a computable general equilibrium model of the world economy, ... -
Canada’s Bitumen Industry Under CO2 Constraints
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010-01)We investigate the effects of implementing CO2 emissions reduction policies on Canada’s oil sands industry, the largest of its kind in the world. The production of petroleum products from oils sands involves extraction of ... -
Climate Co-benefits of Tighter SO2 and NOx Regulations in China
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-10-01)Air pollution has been recognized as a significant problem in China. In its Twelfth Five Year Plan (FYP), China proposes to reduce SO2 and NOx emissions significantly, and here we investigate the cost of achieving those ... -
Combining a Renewable Portfolio Standard with a Cap-and-Trade Policy: A General Equilibrium Analysis
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010-07)Many efforts to address greenhouse gas emissions combine a cap-and-trade system with other measures such as a renewable portfolio standard. In this paper we use a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, the MIT Emissions ... -
The Cost of Climate Policy in the United States
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-04)We consider the cost of meeting emissions reduction targets consistent with a G8 proposal of a 50 percent global reduction in emissions by 2050, and an Obama Administration proposal of an 80 percent reduction over this ... -
Distributional Impacts of a U.S. Greenhouse Gas Policy: A General Equilibrium Analysis of Carbon Pricing
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-11)We develop a new model of the U.S., the U.S. Regional Energy Policy (USREP) model that is resolved for large states and regions of the U.S. and by income class and apply the model to investigate a $15 per ton CO2 equivalent ... -
Distributional Implications of Alternative U.S. Greenhouse Gas Control Measures
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010-06)We analyze the distributional and efficiency impacts of different allowance allocation schemes for a national cap and trade system using the USREP model, a new recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the ... -
The Economic Projection and Policy Analysis Model for Taiwan: A Global Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-11)We present and evaluate a new global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to focus on analyzing climate policy implications for Taiwan’s economy and its relationship to important trading partners. The main focus of ... -
The Economic, Energy, and GHG Emissions Impacts of Proposed 2017–2025 Vehicle Fuel Economy Standards in the United States
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-07-31)Increases in the U.S. Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards for 2017 to 2025 model year light-duty vehicles are currently under consideration. This analysis uses an economy-wide model with detail in the passenger ... -
Energy Scenarios for East Asia: 2005-2025
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-06)We describe several scenarios for economic development and energy use in East Asia based on the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, a computable general equilibrium model of the world economy. Historic ... -
A Forward Looking Version of the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-05)This paper documents a forward looking multi-regional general equilibrium model developed from the latest version of the recursive-dynamic MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model. The model represents ... -
The Future of Global Water Stress: An Integrated Assessment
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2014-01)We assess the ability of global water systems, resolved at 282 large river basins or Assessment Sub Regions (ASRs), to the meet water requirements over the coming decades under integrated projections of socioeconomic growth ... -
The Future of Natural Gas in China: Effects of Pricing Reform and Climate Policy
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-03)China is currently attempting to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase natural gas consumption as a part of broader national strategies to reduce the air pollution impacts of the nation’s energy system. To assess ... -
The Future of U.S. Natural Gas Production, Use, and Trade
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010-06)Two computable general equilibrium models, one global and the other providing U.S. regional detail, are applied to analysis of the future of U.S. natural gas as an input to an MIT study of the topic. The focus is on ... -
Future Yield Growth: What Evidence from Historical Data?
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-05)The potential future role of biofuels has become an important topic in energy legislation as it is seen as a potential low carbon alternative to conventional fuels. Hence, future yield growth is an important topic from ... -
Global Aerosol Health Impacts: Quantifying Uncertainties
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-08)Atmospheric fine particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM2.5) can cause cardiovasculatory and respiratory damages and mortalities. Assessing population exposure to and damages from PM2.5 is important for policy, but measurement ...
