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The Influence on Climate Change of Differing Scenarios for Future Development Analyzed Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-09)
A wide variety of scenarios for future development have played significant roles in climate policy discussions. This paper presents projections of greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations, sea level rise due to thermal expansion ...
Uncertainty in Greenhouse Emissions and Costs of Atmospheric Stabilization
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-11)
We explore the uncertainty in projections of emissions, and costs of atmospheric stabilization applying the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model, a computable general equilibrium model of the global economy. ...
The Future of Global Water Stress: An Integrated Assessment
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2014-01)
We assess the ability of global water systems, resolved at 282 large river basins or Assessment Sub Regions (ASRs), to the meet water requirements over the coming decades under integrated projections of socioeconomic growth ...
The Cost of Climate Policy in the United States
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-04)
We consider the cost of meeting emissions reduction targets consistent with a G8 proposal of a 50 percent global reduction in emissions by 2050, and an Obama Administration proposal of an 80 percent reduction over this ...
Sharing the Burden of GHG Reductions
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-11)
The G8 countries propose a goal of a 50% reduction in global emissions by 2050, in an effort that needs to take account of other agreements specifying that developing countries are to be provided with incentives to action ...
The Future of U.S. Natural Gas Production, Use, and Trade
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2010-06)
Two computable general equilibrium models, one global and the other providing U.S. regional detail, are applied to analysis of the future of U.S. natural gas as an input to an MIT study of the topic. The focus is on ...
Analysis of Climate Policy Targets under Uncertainty
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-09)
Although policymaking in response to the climate change is essentially a challenge of risk management, most studies of the relation of emissions targets to desired climate outcomes are either deterministic or subject to a ...
Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-01)
The MIT Integrated Global System Model is used to make probabilistic projections of climate change from 1861 to 2100. Since the model's first projections were published in 2003 substantial improvements have been made to ...
Assessment of U.S. Cap-and-Trade Proposals
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2007-04)
The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model is applied to an assessment of a set of cap-and-trade proposals being considered by the U.S. Congress in spring 2007. The bills specify emissions reductions to be ...