MIT Libraries homeMIT Libraries logoDSpace@MIT

MIT
View Item 
  • DSpace@MIT Home
  • Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
  • Working Papers
  • View Item
  • DSpace@MIT Home
  • Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
  • Working Papers
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Interpreting the IPCC emisions scenarios

Author(s)
Margolis, Robert M.
Thumbnail
Download35719947.pdf (1.468Mb)
Other Contributors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
Metadata
Show full item record
Abstract
This paper discusses how two sets of emissions scenarios, generated using the Atmospheric Stabilization Framework, were used by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In particular it discusses how the scenarios were specified, what roles models played in developing the scenarios, and how the scenarios were interpreted by participants in the IPCC process. It draws on the results of interviews conducted with 14 participants in the IPCC process. After looking at how both sets of IPCC emissions scenarios were defined and interpreted it is clear that analysts need to explore the effects of policies in the context of uncertainty. Thus, instead of testing policy options on a single future and/or generating a range of possible futures in the absence of policy intervention, analysts need to investigate the effectiveness of various policy options across an entire set of possible futures. Conducting this sort of analysis would be an important step beyond the IPCC emissions scenarios.
Date issued
1992
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/50203
Publisher
MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research
Other identifiers
92011
Series/Report no.
MIT-CEEPR (Series) ; 92-011WP.

Collections
  • Working Papers

Browse

All of DSpaceCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjects

My Account

Login

Statistics

OA StatisticsStatistics by CountryStatistics by Department
MIT Libraries homeMIT Libraries logo

Find us on

Twitter Facebook Instagram YouTube RSS

MIT Libraries navigation

SearchHours & locationsBorrow & requestResearch supportAbout us
PrivacyPermissionsAccessibility
MIT
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Content created by the MIT Libraries, CC BY-NC unless otherwise noted. Notify us about copyright concerns.