Sensitivity of model output statistics on the Lorenz system
Author(s)
Coblenz, Joshua S
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Other Contributors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences.
Advisor
Kerry Andrew Emanuel.
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This project studies the sensitivity of model output statistics (or MOS) in numerical weather prediction to lead times and parameters. In order to study MOS in an idealized setting, I use the simplified Lorenz system of differential equations as the physical model to explore the sensitivity of linear MOS in this non-linear system. MOS finds a statistical relationship between imperfect model variables and true variables using linear regression. The effect on the forecast error of lead time and parameter perturbation are investigated.
Description
Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, 2009. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (p. 23).
Date issued
2009Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary SciencesPublisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Keywords
Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences.