The process of resort second home development demand quantification : exploration of methodologies and case study application

Abstract

Prevalent methodologies utilized by resort second home development professionals to quantify demand for future projects are identified and critiqued. The strengths of each model are synthesized in order to formulate an original, composite methodology for demand quantification with industry-wide applicability. This "best practices" synthesized model is then applied to a real world case study and back tested in an effort to gauge its accuracy. After analysis of its performance, modifications are made and an innovative method for forecasting absorption is added to its framework. The resulting product of this effort is the creation of the Comprehensive Resort Second Home Demand Forecasting Model.