<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><?xml-stylesheet type="text/xsl" href="static/style.xsl"?><OAI-PMH xmlns="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/OAI-PMH.xsd"><responseDate>2026-09-20T01:55:01Z</responseDate><request verb="GetRecord" identifier="oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/123075" metadataPrefix="dim">https://dspace.mit.edu/server/oai/request</request><GetRecord><record><header><identifier>oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/123075</identifier><datestamp>2026-06-06T00:54:50Z</datestamp><setSpec>com_1721.1_7582</setSpec><setSpec>com_1721.1_7581</setSpec><setSpec>col_1721.1_131023</setSpec></header><metadata><dim:dim xmlns:dim="http://www.dspace.org/xmlns/dspace/dim" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:doc="http://www.lyncode.com/xoai" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.dspace.org/xmlns/dspace/dim http://www.dspace.org/schema/dim.xsd">
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="contributor" qualifier="advisor" lang="en_US">Andrew W. Lo.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="contributor" qualifier="author" lang="en_US">Chavez-Gehrig, Arturo.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="contributor" qualifier="other" lang="en_US">Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="contributor" qualifier="department" lang="en_US">Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="date" qualifier="accessioned">2019-11-22T00:10:09Z</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="date" qualifier="available">2019-11-22T00:10:09Z</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="date" qualifier="copyright" lang="en_US">2019</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="date" qualifier="issued" lang="en_US">2019</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="identifier" qualifier="uri">https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/123075</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="identifier" qualifier="oclc" lang="en_US">1127579518</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" lang="en_US">Thesis: M. Eng., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 2019</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" lang="en_US">Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" lang="en_US">Includes bibliographical references (pages 69-71).</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" qualifier="abstract" lang="en_US">This thesis explores the problem of characterizing the covariance of clinical trial outcomes using drug and trial features. The binary nature of FDA approvals makes drug development risky, but approaches in finance theory could better manage that risk, allowing more high potential drugs to be developed. To apply these methods confidently, it is necessary to understand the covariance between projects. The paper outlines several approaches for this task and their theoretical foundations, such as finding the nearest valid covariance matrix, online sequence prediction, and a new approach using function approximation via random forest. This function approximation approach to estimating covariance is implemented and tested on historical clinical trial data.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" qualifier="statementofresponsibility" lang="en_US">by Arturo Chavez-Gehrig.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" qualifier="degree" lang="en_US">M.Eng.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="description" qualifier="collection" lang="en_US">M.Eng. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="format" qualifier="extent" lang="en_US">71 pages</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="language" qualifier="iso" lang="en_US">eng</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="publisher" lang="en_US">Massachusetts Institute of Technology</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="rights" lang="en_US">MIT theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed, downloaded, or printed from this source but further reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="rights" qualifier="uri" lang="en_US">http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="subject" lang="en_US">Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.</dim:field>
   <dim:field mdschema="dc" element="title" lang="en_US">Modeling correlations in clinical trial outcomes using machine learning</dim:field>
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   	&lt;Title>Modeling correlations in clinical trial outcomes using machine learning&lt;/Title>
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   	&lt;PublicationDate>2019&lt;/PublicationDate>
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    &lt;Keyword>Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.&lt;/Keyword>
   	&lt;Abstract>This thesis explores the problem of characterizing the covariance of clinical trial outcomes using drug and trial features. The binary nature of FDA approvals makes drug development risky, but approaches in finance theory could better manage that risk, allowing more high potential drugs to be developed. To apply these methods confidently, it is necessary to understand the covariance between projects. The paper outlines several approaches for this task and their theoretical foundations, such as finding the nearest valid covariance matrix, online sequence prediction, and a new approach using function approximation via random forest. This function approximation approach to estimating covariance is implemented and tested on historical clinical trial data.&lt;/Abstract>
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