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Scenarios of Global Change: Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-02)
Using the MIT Integrated Global System Modeling (IGSM) framework, we assess the climate impacts of emission scenarios exhibiting global mean surface temperatures ranging between 2.4°C and 4.3°C above pre-industrial by 2100. ...
Costs of Climate Mitigation Policies
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-03)
The wide range of cost estimates for stabilizing climate is puzzling to policy makers as well as researchers. Assumptions about technology costs have been studied extensively as one reason for these differences. Here, we ...
Regulatory Control of Vehicle and Power Plant Emissions: How Effective and at What Cost?
(MIT Joint Program, 2013-10)
Passenger vehicles and power plants are major sources of greenhouse gas emissions. While economic analyses generally indicate that a broader market-based approach to greenhouse gas reduction would be less costly and more ...
Applying Engineering and Fleet Detail to Represent Passenger Vehicle Transport in a Computable General Equilibrium Model
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-04)
A well-known challenge in computable general equilibrium (CGE) models is to maintain correspondence between the forecasted economic and physical quantities over time. Maintaining such a correspondence is necessary to ...
A Review of and Perspectives on Global Change Modeling for Northern Eurasia
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-05)
Northern Eurasia is made up of a complex and diverse set of physical, ecological, climatic and human systems, which provide important ecosystem services including the storage of substantial stocks of carbon in its terrestrial ...
The Revenue Implications of a Carbon Tax
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-07)
A primary reason for implementing a carbon or greenhouse gas tax is to reduce emissions, but in recent years there has been increased interest in a carbon tax’s revenue potential. This revenue could be used for federal ...
Potential Direct and Indirect Effects of Global Cellulosic Biofuel Production on Greenhouse Gas Fluxes from Future Land-use Chage
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-03)
The production of cellulosic biofuels may have a large influence on future land emissions of
greenhouse gases. These effects will vary across space and time depending on land-use policies,
trade, and variations in ...
Climate Stabilization at 2°C and Net Zero Carbon Emissions
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-03)
The goal to stabilize global average surface temperature at lower than 2°C above pre-industrial level has been extensively discussed in climate negotiations. A number of publications state that achieving this goal will ...
The Influence of Shale gas on U.S. Energy and Environmental Policy
(MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-11)
The emergence of U.S. shale gas resources to economic viability affects the nation’s energy outlook and the expected role of natural gas in climate policy. Even in the face of the current shale gas boom, however, questions ...
The Future Energy and GHG Emissions Impact of Alternative Personal Transportation Pathways in China
(Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-10)
A major uncertainty in future energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions projections for China is
the evolution of demand for personal transportation modes. This paper explores the implications of
divergent personal ...