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Global warming projections : sensitivity to deep ocean mixing

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dc.contributor Sokolov, Andrei P. en_US
dc.contributor Stone, Peter H. en_US 2003-10-24T14:57:50Z 2003-10-24T14:57:50Z 1996-09 en_US
dc.identifier.other no. 11 en_US
dc.identifier.uri en_US
dc.description Includes bibliographical references (p. 3). en_US
dc.description Abstract in HTML and technical report in HTML and PDF available on the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change website ( en_US
dc.description.abstract The climatological impact of increases in greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, despite being a subject of intensive study in recent years, is still very uncertain. One major uncertainty affecting possible climate change that has not received enough attention is the uncertainty in heat uptake by the deep ocean. We analyze the influence of this process and its uncertainty on climate predictions by means of numerical simulations with a 2-dimensional climate model. In the case of high climate sensitivity, as a result of uncertainty in deep ocean heat uptake, there is more than a factor of two uncertainty in the predicted increase of surface temperature. The corresponding uncertainty in the sea level rise due to thermal expansion is much larger than the uncertainty in the predicted temperature change and is significant even in the case of low climate sensitivity. en_US
dc.format.extent 7 p. en_US
dc.format.extent 82221 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng en_US
dc.publisher MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Report no. 11 en_US
dc.subject.lcc QC981.8.C5 M58 no.11 en_US
dc.title Global warming projections : sensitivity to deep ocean mixing en_US

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