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Patent Litigation As a Leading Market Indicator

Author(s)
Tang, Victor; Huang, Biao
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Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to introduce patent litigation as a leading indicator of market growth. We model the intensity of patent litigation and the market growth for the personal computer and cellular phone market in the US. By means of these analytic models, we show that patent litigation is a leading indicator to market growth. We are also able to very precisely delineate discrete stages of the product’s market life cycle and demarcate the time when life-cycle transitions are about to take place. We close this paper with a discussion on new lines of patent research that are potentially useful for managerial practice and for investment decisions.
Date issued
2001
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/3806
Keywords
patent litigation, market growth, analytic models, life cycle, lifecycle, patent, managerial practice, investment decisions, patents, patent infringement, technology diffusion, market growth, market forecasting, leading indicators, knowledge spillover, early adopters

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  • Information Flow Modeling (IFM)

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