Browsing Center for Global Change Science by Title

Now showing items 272-291 of 337

    • Representing energy technologies in top-down economic models using bottom-up information 

      McFarland, James R.; Reilly, John M.; Herzog, Howard J. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-10)
      This paper uses bottom-up engineering information as a basis for modeling new technologies within the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, a computable general equilibrium model of the world economy. ...

    • Responses of primary production and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration 

      Xiao, Xiangming.; Kicklighter, David W.; Melillo, Jerry M.; McGuire, A. David.; Stone, Peter H.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1995-10)
      The authors used the terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM, version 4.0) to estimate global responses of annual net primary production (NPP) and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2, driven by the ...

    • Rethinking the Kyoto emission targets 

      Babiker, Mustafa H.M.; Eckaus, Richard S. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2000-08)

    • The Revenue Implications of a Carbon Tax 

      Yuan, M.; Metcalf, G.E.; Reilly, J.; Paltsev, S. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-07)
      A primary reason for implementing a carbon or greenhouse gas tax is to reduce emissions, but in recent years there has been increased interest in a carbon tax’s revenue potential. This revenue could be used for federal ...

    • A Review of and Perspectives on Global Change Modeling for Northern Eurasia 

      Monier, E.; Kicklighter, D.; Sokolov, A.; Zhuang, Q.; Sokolik, I.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2017-05)
      Northern Eurasia is made up of a complex and diverse set of physical, ecological, climatic and human systems, which provide important ecosystem services including the storage of substantial stocks of carbon in its terrestrial ...

    • The Role of China in Mitigating Climate Change 

      Paltsev, S.; Morris, J.; Cai, Y.; Karplus, V.; Jacoby, H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-04)
      We explore short- and long-term implications of several energy scenarios of China’s role in efforts to mitigate global climate risk. The focus is on the impacts on China’s energy system and GDP growth, and on global climate ...

    • The Role of Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases in Climate Policy: Analysis Using the MIT IGSM 

      Reilly, John M.; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Paltsev, Sergey.; Prinn, Ronald G. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-08)
      First steps toward a broad climate agreement, such as the Kyoto Protocol, have focused attention on agreement with less than global geographic coverage. We consider instead a policy that is less comprehensive in term of ...

    • Russia's role in the Kyoto Protocol 

      Bernard, Alain.; Paltsev, Sergey.; Reilly, John M.; Vielle, Marc.; Viguier, Laurent L. (2003-06)
      As a result of the allocation of emissions reductions, and the differential willingness of countries to ratify, it turns out that Russia is a central player in the Kyoto Protocol. With the U.S. out and Japan and the EU ...

    • Russia’s Natural Gas Export Potential up to 2050 

      Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2011-07)
      Recent increases in natural gas reserve estimates and advances in shale gas technology make natural gas a fuel with good prospects to serve a bridge to a low-carbon world. Russia is an important energy supplier as it holds ...

    • The safety valve and climate policy 

      Jacoby, Henry D.; Ellerman, A. Denny. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-02)
      In discussions of a cap-and-trade system for implementation of Kyoto Protocol-type quantity targets, a "safety valve" was proposed where, by government sales of emissions permits at a fixed price, the marginal cost of the ...

    • Same science, differing policies : the saga of global climate change 

      Skolnikoff, Eugene B. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1997-08)
      This paper provides a comparative analysis of the economic and political interests influencing the progress of climate negotiation. The primary focus is on the U.S., France, Germany, U.K., Belgium, Netherlands, and the ...

    • Scaling Compliance with Coverage? Firm-level Performance in China’s Industrial Energy Conservation Program 

      Karplus, V.J.; Shen, X.; Zhang, D. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-10)
      Industrial energy conservation programs in China form a cornerstone of China’s energy and environmental management efforts, engaging thousands of major energy-using enterprises, and targeting hundreds of million tons of ...

    • Scenarios of Global Change: Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts 

      Paltsev, S.; Sokolov, A.; Chen, H.; Gao, X.; Schlosser, A.; e.a. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2016-02)
      Using the MIT Integrated Global System Modeling (IGSM) framework, we assess the climate impacts of emission scenarios exhibiting global mean surface temperatures ranging between 2.4°C and 4.3°C above pre-industrial by 2100. ...

    • A Self-Consistent Method to Assess Air Quality Co-Benefits from US Climate Policies 

      Saari, R.; Selin, N.E.; Rausch, S.; Thompson, T.M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2014-04)
      Air quality co-benefits can potentially reduce the costs of greenhouse gas mitigation. However, while many studies of the cost of greenhouse gas mitigation model the full macroeconomic welfare impacts, most studies of air ...

    • A semi-empirical representation of the temporal variation of total greenhouse gas levels expressed as equivalent levels of carbon dioxide 

      Cunnold, Derek; Prinn, Ronald G.; Huang, Jin; Wang, Ray (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2009-06)
      In order to examine the underlying longer-term trends in greenhouse gases, that are driven for example by anthropogenic emissions or climate change, it is useful to remove the recurring effects of natural cycles and ...

    • Sensitivities of deep-ocean heat uptake and heat content to surface fluxes and subgrid-scale parameters in an ocean GCM with idealized geometry 

      Huang, Boyin.; Stone, Peter H.; Hill, Christopher. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2002-09)
      Sensitivities of the net heat flux into the deep-ocean (Qnet) and of the deep-ocean heat content (DOC) below 700 m are studied using an ocean general circulation model and its adjoint. Both are found to have very similar ...

    • Sensitivity of Climate Change Projections to Uncertainties in the Estimates of Observed Changes in Deep-Ocean Heat Content 

      Sokolov, Andrei P.; Forest, Chris Eliot; Stone, Peter H. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2008-11)
      The MIT 2D climate model is used to make probabilistic projections for changes in global mean surface temperature and for thermosteric sea level rise under a variety of forcing scenarios. The uncertainties in climate ...

    • Sensitivity of Climate to Diapycnal Diffusivity: Part I. Equilibrium State; Part II. Global Warming Scenario 

      Dalan, Fabio.; Stone, Peter H.; Kamenkovich, Igor V.; Scott, Jeffery.; Sokolov, Andrei P. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2004-05)
      Part I: The diapycnal diffusivity in the ocean is one of the least known parameters in current climate models. Measurements of this diffusivity are sparse and insufficient for compiling a global map. Inferences from inverse ...

    • Sequential climate decisions under uncertainty : an integrated framework 

      Valverde, L. James, 1965-; Jacoby, Henry D.; Kaufman, Gordon M. (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 1998-09)
      In this paper, we present an integrated framework for structuring and evaluating sequential greenhouse gas abatement policies under uncertainty. The analysis integrates information concerning the magnitude, timing, and ...

    • Shale Gas Production: Potential versus Actual GHG Emissions 

      O'Sullivan, Francis; Paltsev, Sergey (MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, 2012-11)
      Estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from shale gas production and use are controversial. Here we assess the level of GHG emissions from shale gas well hydraulic fracturing operations in the United States during ...