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dc.contributor.authorKhoo, Justin Donald
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-01T21:40:56Z
dc.date.available2017-03-01T16:14:47Z
dc.date.issued2016-01
dc.identifier.issn0165-0157
dc.identifier.issn1573-0549
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/103518
dc.description.abstractThe Ramseyan thesis that the probability of an indicative conditional is equal to the corresponding conditional probability of its consequent given its antecedent is both widely confirmed and subject to attested counterexamples (e.g., McGee, in Analysis 60(1):107–111, 2000; Kaufmann, in J Philos Logic 33:583–606, 2004). This raises several puzzling questions. For instance, why are there interpretations of conditionals that violate this Ramseyan thesis in certain contexts, and why are they otherwise very rare? In this paper, I raise some challenges to Stefan Kaufmann’s account of why the Ramseyan thesis sometimes fails, and motivate my own theory. On my theory, the proposition expressed by an indicative conditional is partially determined by a background partition, and hence its probability depends on the choice of such a partition. I hold that this background partition is contextually determined, and in certain conditions is set by a salient question under discussion in the context. I argue that the resulting theory offers compelling answers to the puzzling questions raised by failures of the Ramseyan thesis.en_US
dc.publisherSpringer Netherlandsen_US
dc.relation.isversionofhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10988-015-9182-zen_US
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alikeen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/en_US
dc.sourceSpringer Netherlandsen_US
dc.titleProbabilities of conditionals in contexten_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.citationKhoo, Justin. “Probabilities of Conditionals in Context.” Linguistics and Philosophy 39.1 (2016): 1–43.en_US
dc.contributor.departmentMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.mitauthorKhoo, Justin Donalden_US
dc.relation.journalLinguistics and Philosophyen_US
dc.eprint.versionAuthor's final manuscripten_US
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticleen_US
eprint.statushttp://purl.org/eprint/status/PeerRevieweden_US
dc.date.updated2016-05-23T12:07:44Z
dc.language.rfc3066en
dc.rights.holderSpringer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
dspace.orderedauthorsKhoo, Justinen_US
dspace.embargo.termsNen
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7066-2462
mit.licenseOPEN_ACCESS_POLICYen_US


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