Uncertainty quantification of network availability for networks of optical ground stations

Abstract

This paper analyzes differences in the availability of networks of optical ground stations computed using different methods and datasets, and quantifies the uncertainty of the results. For that purpose, we first review existing methods proposed in the literature, and then existing cloud coverage datasets, and we compare the results obtained using different methods and datasets for several scenarios. Finally, we propose a new probabilistic global cloud coverage model that aggregates values from existing datasets and quantifies the uncertainty in measuring cloud probability, and present a method to compute the availability of a network of multiple optical ground stations, along with the corresponding uncertainty.