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dc.contributor.authorNicolaides, Christos
dc.contributor.authorAvraam, Demetris
dc.contributor.authorCueto-Felgueroso Landeira, Luis
dc.contributor.authorGonzalez, Marta C.
dc.contributor.authorJuanes, Ruben
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-27T20:11:09Z
dc.date.available2020-05-27T20:11:09Z
dc.date.issued2019-12
dc.date.submitted2019-10
dc.identifier.issn0272-4332
dc.identifier.issn1539-6924
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/125526
dc.description.abstractThe risk for a global transmission of flu-type viruses is strengthened by the physical contact between humans and accelerated through individual mobility patterns. The Air Transportation System plays a critical role in such transmissions because it is responsible for fast and long-range human travel, while its building components—the airports—are crowded, confined areas with usually poor hygiene. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and World Health Organization (WHO) consider hand hygiene as the most efficient and cost-effective way to limit disease propagation. Results from clinical studies reveal the effect of hand washing on individual transmissibility of infectious diseases. However, its potential as a mitigation strategy against the global risk for a pandemic has not been fully explored. Here, we use epidemiological modeling and data-driven simulations to elucidate the role of individual engagement with hand hygiene inside airports in conjunction with human travel on the global spread of epidemics. We find that, by increasing travelers engagement with hand hygiene at all airports, a potential pandemic can be inhibited by 24% to 69%. In addition, we identify 10 airports at the core of a cost-optimal deployment of the hand-washing mitigation strategy. Increasing hand-washing rate at only those 10 influential locations, the risk of a pandemic could potentially drop by up to 37%. Our results provide evidence for the effectiveness of hand hygiene in airports on the global spread of infections that could shape the way public-health policy is implemented with respect to the overall objective of mitigating potential population health crises.en_US
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWileyen_US
dc.relation.isversionofhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1111/risa.13438en_US
dc.rightsCreative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alikeen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/en_US
dc.sourcebioRxiven_US
dc.titleHand‐Hygiene Mitigation Strategies Against Global Disease Spreading through the Air Transportation Networken_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.citationNicolaides, Christos et al. "Hand‐Hygiene Mitigation Strategies Against Global Disease Spreading through the Air Transportation Network." Risk Analysis 40, 4 (December 2019): 723-740 © 2019 Society for Risk Analysisen_US
dc.contributor.departmentSloan School of Managementen_US
dc.contributor.departmentMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineeringen_US
dc.relation.journalRisk Analysisen_US
dc.eprint.versionOriginal manuscripten_US
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticleen_US
eprint.statushttp://purl.org/eprint/status/NonPeerRevieweden_US
dc.date.updated2020-05-27T19:21:59Z
dspace.date.submission2020-05-27T19:22:01Z
mit.journal.volume40en_US
mit.journal.issue4en_US
mit.licenseOPEN_ACCESS_POLICY
mit.metadata.statusComplete


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