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Testing the drift-diffusion model

Author(s)
Fudenberg, Drew; Newey, Whitney K
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Abstract
The drift-diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits either an upper or lower stopping boundary and then stops and chooses the alternative that corresponds to that boundary. In perceptual tasks, the drift of the process is related to which choice is objectively correct, whereas in consumption tasks, the drift is related to the relative appeal of the alternatives. The simplest version of the DDM assumes that the stopping boundaries are constant over time. More recently, a number of papers have used nonconstant boundaries to better fit the data. This paper provides a statistical test for DDMs with general, nonconstant boundaries. As a by-product, we show that the drift and the boundary are uniquely identified. We use our condition to nonparametrically estimate the drift and the boundary and construct a test statistic based on finite samples.
Date issued
2020-12
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/130344
Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Economics
Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Publisher
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Citation
Fudenberg, Drew et al. “Testing the drift-diffusion model.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117, 52 (December 2020): 33141–33148 © 2020 The Author(s)
Version: Final published version
ISSN
0027-8424

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