MIT Libraries logoDSpace@MIT

MIT
View Item 
  • DSpace@MIT Home
  • MIT Open Access Articles
  • MIT Open Access Articles
  • View Item
  • DSpace@MIT Home
  • MIT Open Access Articles
  • MIT Open Access Articles
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Optimizing influenza vaccine composition: A machine learning approach

Author(s)
Bandi, Hari; Bertsimas, Dimitris
Thumbnail
Download10.1002-nav.21974.pdf (698.7Kb)
Open Access Policy

Open Access Policy

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike

Terms of use
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
Metadata
Show full item record
Abstract
We propose a holistic framework based on state-of-the-art methods in machine learning and optimization to prescribe influenza vaccine composition that are specific to a region, or a country based on historical data concerning the rates of circulation of predominant viruses. First, we develop a tensor completion formulation to predict rates of circulation of viruses for the next season based on historical data. Then, taking into account the uncertainty in the predicted rates of circulation of predominant viruses, we propose a novel robust prescriptive framework for selecting suitable strains for each subtypes of the flu virus: Influenza A (H1N1 and H3N2) and B viruses for production. Through numerical experiments, we show that our proposed vaccine compositions could potentially lower morbidity by 11–14% and mortality by 8–11% over vaccine compositions proposed by World Health Organization (WHO) for Northern Hemisphere, and lower morbidity by 8–10% and mortality by 6–9% over vaccine compositions proposed by U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for United States, and finally, lower morbidity by 10–12% and mortality by 9–11% over vaccine compositions proposed by European Medicines Agency (EMA) for Europe.
Date issued
2021-02-03
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/140423
Department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center; Sloan School of Management
Journal
Naval Research Logistics (NRL)
Publisher
Wiley
Citation
Bandi, H, Bertsimas, D. Optimizing influenza vaccine composition: A machine learning approach. Naval Research Logistics. 2021; 68: 857– 870.
Version: Author's final manuscript
ISSN
0894-069X
1520-6750

Collections
  • MIT Open Access Articles

Browse

All of DSpaceCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjects

My Account

Login

Statistics

OA StatisticsStatistics by CountryStatistics by Department
MIT Libraries
PrivacyPermissionsAccessibilityContact us
MIT
Content created by the MIT Libraries, CC BY-NC unless otherwise noted. Notify us about copyright concerns.