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Adaptive Markets and the New World Order

Author(s)
Lo, Andrew W.
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Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/
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Abstract
In the adaptive markets hypothesis (AMH) intelligent but fallible investors learn from and adapt to changing economic environments. This implies that markets are not always efficient but are usually competitive and adaptive, varying in their degree of efficiency as the environment and investor population change over time. The AMH has several implications, including the possibility of negative risk premiums, alpha converging to beta, and the importance of macro factors and risk budgeting in asset allocation policies.
Date issued
2012-05
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/75362
Department
Sloan School of Management
Journal
Financial Analysts Journal
Publisher
CFA Institute
Citation
Lo, Andrew W. “Adaptive Markets and the New World Order (corrected May 2012).” Financial Analysts Journal 68.2 (2012): 18–29.
Version: Author's final manuscript
ISSN
0015-198X
1938-3312

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