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dc.contributor.authorMahlstein, Irina
dc.contributor.authorDaniel, J. S.
dc.contributor.authorSolomon, Susan
dc.date.accessioned2014-06-06T19:59:28Z
dc.date.available2014-06-06T19:59:28Z
dc.date.issued2013-04
dc.date.submitted2012-07
dc.identifier.issn1758-678X
dc.identifier.issn1758-6798
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/87693
dc.description.abstractHuman-induced climate change causes significant changes in local climates, which in turn lead to changes in regional climate zones. Large shifts in the world distribution of Köppen–Geiger climate classifications by the end of this century have been projected. However, only a few studies have analysed the pace of these shifts in climate zones, and none has analysed whether the pace itself changes with increasing global mean temperature. In this study, pace refers to the rate at which climate zones change as a function of amount of global warming. Here we show that present climate projections suggest that the pace of shifting climate zones increases approximately linearly with increasing global temperature. Using the RCP8.5 emissions pathway, the pace nearly doubles by the end of this century and about 20% of all land area undergoes a change in its original climate. This implies that species will have increasingly less time to adapt to Köppen zone changes in the future, which is expected to increase the risk of extinction.en_US
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherNature Publishing Groupen_US
dc.relation.isversionofhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1876en_US
dc.rightsArticle is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.en_US
dc.sourceProf. Solomon via Chris Sherratten_US
dc.titlePace of shifts in climate regions increases with global temperatureen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.citationMahlstein, Irina, John S. Daniel, and Susan Solomon. “Pace of Shifts in Climate Regions Increases with Global Temperature.” Nature Climate Change 3, no. 8 (April 21, 2013): 739–743.en_US
dc.contributor.departmentMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.mitauthorSolomon, Susanen_US
dc.relation.journalNature Climate Changeen_US
dc.eprint.versionAuthor's final manuscripten_US
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticleen_US
eprint.statushttp://purl.org/eprint/status/PeerRevieweden_US
dspace.orderedauthorsMahlstein, Irina; Daniel, John S.; Solomon, Susanen_US
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2020-7581
mit.licensePUBLISHER_POLICYen_US


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