Are Special Processes at Work in the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones?
Author(s)Kowch, Roman; Emanuel, Kerry Andrew
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Probably not. Frequency distributions of intensification and dissipation developed from synthetic open-ocean tropical cyclone data show no evidence of significant departures from exponential distributions, though there is some evidence for a fat tail of dissipation rates. This suggests that no special factors govern high intensification rates and that tropical cyclone intensification and dissipation are controlled by statistically random environmental and internal variability.
DepartmentMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences
Monthly Weather Review
American Meteorological Society
Kowch, Roman, and Kerry Emanuel. “Are Special Processes at Work in the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones?” Monthly Weather Review 143, no. 3 (March 2015): 878–882. © 2015 American Meteorological Society
Final published version