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dc.contributor.authorEmanuel, Kerry Andrew
dc.date.accessioned2017-10-31T15:23:31Z
dc.date.available2017-10-31T15:23:31Z
dc.date.issued2017-03
dc.date.submitted2016-08
dc.identifier.issn0003-0007
dc.identifier.issn1520-0477
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/112097
dc.description.abstractHurricane track forecasts have improved steadily over the past few decades, yet forecasting hurricane intensity remains challenging. Of special concern are the rare instances of tropical cyclones that intensify rapidly just before landfall, catching forecasters and populations off guard, thereby risking large casualties. Here, we review two historical examples of such events and use scaling arguments and models to show that rapid intensification just before landfall is likely to become increasingly frequent and severe as the globe warms.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Science Foundation (U.S.) (Grant AGS-1520683)en_US
dc.publisherAmerican Meteorological Societyen_US
dc.relation.isversionofhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0134.1en_US
dc.rightsArticle is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.en_US
dc.sourceAmerican Meteorological Societyen_US
dc.titleWill Global Warming Make Hurricane Forecasting More Difficult?en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.citationEmanuel, Kerry. “Will Global Warming Make Hurricane Forecasting More Difficult?” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98, 3 (March 2017): 495–501 © 2017 American Meteorological Societyen_US
dc.contributor.departmentMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.mitauthorEmanuel, Kerry Andrew
dc.relation.journalBulletin of the American Meteorological Societyen_US
dc.eprint.versionFinal published versionen_US
dc.type.urihttp://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticleen_US
eprint.statushttp://purl.org/eprint/status/PeerRevieweden_US
dc.date.updated2017-10-19T18:11:18Z
dspace.orderedauthorsEmanuel, Kerryen_US
dspace.embargo.termsNen_US
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2066-2082
mit.licensePUBLISHER_POLICYen_US


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