| dc.contributor.author | Zhang, Fuqing | |
| dc.contributor.author | Emanuel, Kerry Andrew | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2018-04-05T15:39:44Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2018-04-05T15:39:44Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2017-07 | |
| dc.date.submitted | 2017-04 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 0022-4928 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1520-0469 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/114570 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Errors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial-condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here it is shown that growth of intensity error is at least as sensitive to the specification of inner-core moisture as to that of the wind field. Implications of this finding for tropical cyclone observational strategies and for overall predictability of storm intensity are discussed. | en_US |
| dc.description.sponsorship | United States. Office of Naval Research (Grant N000141410062) | en_US |
| dc.publisher | American Meteorological Society | en_US |
| dc.relation.isversionof | http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0008.1 | en_US |
| dc.rights | Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. | en_US |
| dc.source | American Meteorological Society | en_US |
| dc.title | The Role of Inner-Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill | en_US |
| dc.type | Article | en_US |
| dc.identifier.citation | Emanuel, Kerry and Fuqing Zhang. “The Role of Inner-Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill.” Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 74, 7 (July 2017): 2315–2324 © 2017 American Meteorological Society | en_US |
| dc.contributor.department | Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences | en_US |
| dc.contributor.department | Lorenz Center (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) | en_US |
| dc.contributor.mitauthor | Emanuel, Kerry Andrew | |
| dc.relation.journal | Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | en_US |
| dc.eprint.version | Final published version | en_US |
| dc.type.uri | http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle | en_US |
| eprint.status | http://purl.org/eprint/status/PeerReviewed | en_US |
| dc.date.updated | 2018-03-30T17:58:18Z | |
| dspace.orderedauthors | Emanuel, Kerry; Zhang, Fuqing | en_US |
| dspace.embargo.terms | N | en_US |
| dc.identifier.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2066-2082 | |
| mit.license | PUBLISHER_POLICY | en_US |
